Result · Match intelligence

MI vs CSK result, score and win probability review

Final. CSK were the final model favorite at 95% before the archived review, score context, and standings pressure update.

ResultCSK 95% winner confidencePublished 23 Apr 2026, 7:30 am ISTUpdated 23 Apr 2026, 7:30 pm ISTLast standings refresh: 14 Aug 2026, 8:34 am IST

MI 104 (19/20 ov, target 208)

Kickoff

19:30

Wankhede Stadium, Mumbai

CSK

95%

CSK 207/6

Final. The archived page for Thursday, 23 April 2026 at Wankhede Stadium, Mumbai still carries the final model call of CSK at 95%. Wankhede Stadium has leaned slightly towards the chase so far, with chasing sides winning 53% of the tracked sample. Ruturaj Gaikwad and Sanju Samson remain the cleanest batting identifiers for CSK, while Jasprit Bumrah is the direct counter from MI. The table now shows MI at #10 and CSK at #8, which keeps the result tied back to the wider season picture.

Points table Track record Methodology MI vs CSK head-to-head All head-to-head archives Previous fixture Next fixture

Quick answerResult

MI vs CSK result

CSK won.

CSK hold the current edge

MI 5%CSK 95%

The 50% marker is the even-match reference. The filled arc shows the model leader, with exact values stated in text.

MI5%

CSK95%

Match result

CSK won

Completed

Result

Final

Final scores

MI 104 (19/20 ov, target 208)

CSK 207/6

Final-state call

CSK at 95%

Decision sheet

Match outcome intelligence

The probabilities shown are final-state snapshots derived from the completed match context.

Final-state probability

CSK

Final-state probability

95%

Outcome call

CSK

Final outcome favoured CSK.

Edge state

Strong edge

CSK 95% confidence

Status

Final

Final score

MI 104 (19/20 ov, target 208) · CSK 207/6

Last updated

Match status finalised

Squad / XI watch

Who is in the frame for this match

Truthful selection state only

Auto-sourced from ESPNcricinfo team-sheet feed.

Verified source: ESPNcricinfo (auto) · 2026-04-23T17:48:36.930Z

Squad / XI module

MI

Confirmed XI

Confirmed XI is shown because an official team sheet has been verified for this fixture.

Quinton de KockOverseas

WK-batter

Overseas squad option in the current official team list. Role-specific stat line is withheld until safely attached to the player layer.

Danish Malewar

Batter

Domestic squad option in the current official team list. Role-specific stat line is withheld until safely attached to the player layer.

Naman Dhir

All-rounder

Domestic squad option in the current official team list. Role-specific stat line is withheld until safely attached to the player layer.

Surya Kumar Yadav

Middle-order batter

360-degree scoring makes him one of the toughest middle-over matchups in the league.

Tilak Varma

Squad player

Player note pending.

Instant verdict

Who has the edge?

CSK closed with the edge. CSK arrive with the stronger standings position at #8 on 12 points, compared with MI's #10 on 8.

CSK arrive with the stronger standings position at #8 on 12 points, compared with MI's #10 on 8.
Wankhede Stadium has an average first-innings score of 182, with 53% of matches won by the chasing side.
Ruturaj Gaikwad and Sanju Samson give CSK top-order run production, while Jasprit Bumrah is the main counter with 1.9 wickets per match.

What changed since the last match

Verified changes only

Latest verified snapshot: MI vs CSK: Final.
Final
CSK sit lower in the table at #6, but Ruturaj Gaikwad and Sanju Samson still carry a stronger top-order form average (7.3) than MI's first two named batters (6.8) in repo data.

Source provenance

What this page is allowed to claim

Fixture, venue, team, squad, and player layers come from the site’s validated data files.
Publication state last evaluated 14 Aug 2026, 8:34 am.
Current live/result state source: manual-override.

Venue / toss / scoring matrix

Wankhede Stadium

Average first-innings score at Wankhede Stadium: 182.
Batting first wins 47% of tracked matches here, while chasing sides win 53%.
Toss context: Chasing usually gains a small edge here, so captains will lean toward bowling first unless the surface looks slower than expected.
True bounce rewards clean powerplay hitting and high pace through the deck
Evening dew can reduce grip for slower balls in the second innings

See IPL 2026 toss winners list Open venue page

Fixture facts

Schedule grounding

CSK 95% win probability
MI are #10 on 8 points
CSK are #8 on 12 points
182 average first-innings score

Key battles

The phase matchups that can move the edge

Rohit Sharma vs Noor Ahmad

Rohit Sharma carries a 128 strike rate in the current batting sample, while Noor Ahmad brings 1.4 wickets per match.

Ruturaj Gaikwad vs Jasprit Bumrah

Ruturaj Gaikwad is one of CSK's main scoring anchors, and Jasprit Bumrah is the best wicket threat in the opposing attack right now.

MI middle overs vs CSK control overs

Quinton de Kock and Matt Henry are the phase matchup to watch once the field spreads and strike rotation matters.

Form + pressure points

MI

Position #10 · 8 points · Record 4-10 · NRR -0.772

Recent result sequence

Oldest to newest · win, no result, loss

MIW · L · W · L · L

MI need a recovery run from #10. The next result matters both for points and for whether the season remains live. Recent form: WLWLL.

Form + pressure points

CSK

Position #8 · 12 points · Record 6-8 · NRR -1.492

Recent result sequence

Oldest to newest · win, no result, loss

FAQ

Match-specific answers

Who won MI vs CSK?

CSK won. Final

What did the pre-match model say?

The pre-match edge was MI at 53%, and the archived reasons remain visible lower on the page for review.

What was the MI vs CSK winning percentage?

Before the toss, MI were 53% and CSK were 47%. The completed page keeps that original percentage for audit instead of rewriting it after the result.

Where is the MI vs CSK live score probability review?

The same canonical match page keeps the live score probability context, final score, and result review after the match is completed.

Was the page updated after the result?

Yes. Completed matches are converted to result-state language on the same canonical URL and keep an explicit update log.

Update log

Canonical page lifecycle

Published

23 Apr 2026, 7:30 am IST

MI vs CSK: MI open at 53%

Toss updated

23 Apr 2026, 7:10 pm IST

MI vs CSK: verified XI state active with MI at 53%

Live updated

23 Apr 2026, 11:20 pm IST

MI vs CSK: live edge CSK 88%

Result updated

14 Aug 2026, 8:34 am IST

Final

Internal links

Move through the trust stack

MI vs CSK head-to-head record Mumbai Indians team page Chennai Super Kings team page Wankhede Stadium venue guide Points table and playoff bracket Track record Methodology MI vs CSK head-to-head All head-to-head archives Editorial feed Playoff scenarios

MI vs CSK — key factors
Factor	Value
MI win probability	5%
CSK win probability	95%
Model favorite	CSK
Venue	Wankhede Stadium, Mumbai
Venue bias (bat-first vs chase)	47% vs 53%
Average first-innings score	182 runs
Start (IST)	19:30 · 2026-04-23
Result	Final

Squad / XI module

CSK

Confirmed XI

Confirmed XI is shown because an official team sheet has been verified for this fixture.

Sanju Samson

WK-batter

Domestic squad option in the current official team list. Role-specific stat line is withheld until safely attached to the player layer.

Ruturaj GaikwadCaptain

Top-order batter

Established IPL top-order run source with tempo control against both pace and spin.

Sarfaraz Khan

Batter

Domestic squad option in the current official team list. Role-specific stat line is withheld until safely attached to the player layer.

Shivam Dube

Batting all-rounder

Matchup hitter who can change the middle overs quickly when spin is on.

Dewald BrevisOverseas

Batter

Overseas squad option in the current official team list. Role-specific stat line is withheld until safely attached to the player layer.

Kartik Sharma

WK-batter

Domestic squad option in the current official team list. Role-specific stat line is withheld until safely attached to the player layer.

Jamie OvertonOverseas

All-rounder

Overseas squad option in the current official team list. Role-specific stat line is withheld until safely attached to the player layer.

Akeal HoseinOverseas

Bowler

Overseas squad option in the current official team list. Role-specific stat line is withheld until safely attached to the player layer.

Noor AhmadOverseas

Left-arm wrist-spinner

Attacking wrist-spin profile built for middle-over breakthroughs.

Anshul Kamboj

Bowler

Domestic squad option in the current official team list. Role-specific stat line is withheld until safely attached to the player layer.

Mukesh Choudhary

Bowler

Domestic squad option in the current official team list. Role-specific stat line is withheld until safely attached to the player layer.

Player impact index

Five largest lineup contributions · zero reference at centre

Sanju Samson+11.3

Dewald Brevis+5.4

Ruturaj Gaikwad+4.7

Noor Ahmad-4.1

Mukesh Choudhary-4.0

Weighted batting and bowling contribution from the selected E3 player-rating snapshot. Filled bars are positive; outlined bars are negative.

Bench / reserves

MS DhoniAyush MhatreUrvil PatelRamakrishna GhoshPrashant VeerMatthew William ShortAman KhanZak Foulkes

Impact-player watch

Gurjapneet Singh

Loading fixture context

MI vs CSK result, score and win probability review

MI vs CSK result

CSK won

Match outcome intelligence

Who is in the frame for this match

MI

Who has the edge?

Verified changes only

What this page is allowed to claim

Wankhede Stadium

Schedule grounding

The phase matchups that can move the edge

Rohit Sharma vs Noor Ahmad

Ruturaj Gaikwad vs Jasprit Bumrah

MI middle overs vs CSK control overs

MI

Recent result sequence

CSK

Recent result sequence

Match-specific answers

Who won MI vs CSK?

What did the pre-match model say?

What was the MI vs CSK winning percentage?

Where is the MI vs CSK live score probability review?

Was the page updated after the result?

Canonical page lifecycle

Published

Toss updated

Live updated

Result updated

Move through the trust stack

Simulated first-innings scores

Frequently asked

Player impact index

CSK

Player impact index

MI

CSK