Squad / XI module
LSG
1
Mitchell MarshOverseas
2
Ayush Badoni
3
Rishabh PantCaptain
4
Aiden MarkramOverseas
5
Nicholas PooranOverseas
Match desk
Loading fixture context
Preparing the schedule, teams, venue and current match state.
Preparing the schedule, teams, venue and current match state.
Final. RR were the final model favorite at 95% before the archived review, score context, and standings pressure update.
5%
95%Final. The archived page for Wednesday, 22 April 2026 at Bharat Ratna Shri Atal Bihari Vajpayee Ekana Cricket Stadium, Lucknow still carries the final model call of RR at 95%. Bharat Ratna Shri Atal Bihari Vajpayee Ekana Cricket Stadium has rewarded teams batting first in 54% of the tracked sample. Yashasvi Jaiswal and Vaibhav Suryavanshi remain the cleanest batting identifiers for RR, while Mohammad Shami is the direct counter from LSG. The table now shows LSG at #9 and RR at #4, which keeps the result tied back to the wider season picture.
RR won.
RR hold the current edge
The 50% marker is the even-match reference. The filled arc shows the model leader, with exact values stated in text.
The probabilities shown are final-state snapshots derived from the completed match context.
LSG RRAuto-sourced from ESPNcricinfo team-sheet feed.
LSGRR closed with the edge. RR arrive with the stronger standings position at #4 on 16 points, compared with LSG's #9 on 8.
Oldest to newest · win, no result, loss
LSG need a recovery run from #9. The next result matters both for points and for whether the season remains live. Recent form: WLWLL.
Oldest to newest · win, no result, loss
10,000 seeded innings per batting order · venue-adjusted E5 simulator · runs
Final The pre-match call gave RR a 95% edge — how it held up, the full scorecard, and the standings impact are below.
| Factor | Value |
|---|---|
| LSG win probability | 5% |
| RR win probability | 95% |
| Model favorite | RR |
| Venue | Bharat Ratna Shri Atal Bihari Vajpayee Ekana Cricket Stadium, Lucknow |
| Venue bias (bat-first vs chase) | 54% vs 46% |
| Average first-innings score | 167 runs |
| Start (IST) | 19:30 · 2026-04-22 |
| Result | Final |
Five largest lineup contributions · zero reference at centre
RRFive largest lineup contributions · zero reference at centre
LSG RRRR are in the current top four, so the pressure is about protecting margin and net run rate rather than chasing the cut line. Recent form: LWWWL.