RCB won.
Final The pre-match call gave RCB a 95% edge — how it held up, the full scorecard, and the standings impact are below.
| Factor | Value |
|---|---|
| RCB win probability | 95% |
| GT win probability | 5% |
| Model favorite | RCB |
| Venue | M Chinnaswamy Stadium, Bengaluru |
| Venue bias (bat-first vs chase) | 44% vs 56% |
| Average first-innings score |
Final. RCB were the final model favorite at 95% before the archived review, score context, and standings pressure update.
Final. The archived page for Friday, 24 April 2026 at M Chinnaswamy Stadium, Bengaluru still carries the final model call of RCB at 95%. M Chinnaswamy Stadium has leaned slightly towards the chase so far, with chasing sides winning 56% of the tracked sample. Phil Salt and Virat Kohli remain the cleanest batting identifiers for RCB, while Kagiso Rabada is the direct counter from GT. The table now shows RCB at #1 and GT at #3, which keeps the result tied back to the wider season picture.
The probabilities shown are final-state snapshots derived from the completed match context.
Auto-sourced from ESPNcricinfo team-sheet feed.
RCB closed with the edge. RCB arrive with the stronger standings position at #1 on 14 points, compared with GT's #3 on 14.
RCB are in the current top four, so the pressure is about protecting margin and net run rate rather than chasing the cut line. Recent form: WWLLW.
GT are in the current top four, so the pressure is about protecting margin and net run rate rather than chasing the cut line. Recent form: LWWWW.
How the other recent fixtures played out — scorecard, the moment it tilted, and the standings impact.
| 186 runs |
| Start (IST) | 19:30 · 2026-04-24 |
| Result | Final |