Quick answerResult

RCB vs LSG result

RCB won.

RCB95%

LSG5%

Final The pre-match call gave RCB a 95% edge — how it held up, the full scorecard, and the standings impact are below.

RCB vs LSG — key factors
Factor	Value
RCB win probability	95%
LSG win probability	5%
Model favorite	RCB
Venue	M Chinnaswamy Stadium, Bengaluru
Venue bias (bat-first vs chase)	44% vs 56%
Average first-innings score

Result · Match intelligence

RCB vs LSG result, score and win probability review

Final. RCB were the final model favorite at 95% before the archived review, score context, and standings pressure update.

ResultRCB 95% winner confidencePublished 8 Apr 2026, 7:30 am ISTUpdated 15 Apr 2026, 7:30 pm ISTLast standings refresh: 30 Jun 2026, 4:30 am IST

RCB

95%

RCB 149/5 (15.1/20 ov, target 147)

Kickoff

19:30

M Chinnaswamy Stadium, Bengaluru

LSG

LSG 146

Final. The archived page for Wednesday, 15 April 2026 at M Chinnaswamy Stadium, Bengaluru still carries the final model call of RCB at 95%. M Chinnaswamy Stadium has leaned slightly towards the chase so far, with chasing sides winning 56% of the tracked sample. Phil Salt and Virat Kohli remain the cleanest batting identifiers for RCB, while Mohammad Shami is the direct counter from LSG. The table now shows RCB at #1 and LSG at #9, which keeps the result tied back to the wider season picture.

Points table Track record Methodology RCB vs LSG head-to-head All head-to-head archives Previous fixture Next fixture

Match result

RCB won

Completed

Result

Final

Final scores

RCB 149/5 (15.1/20 ov, target 147)

LSG 146

Final-state call

RCB at 95%

Decision sheet

Match outcome intelligence

The probabilities shown are final-state snapshots derived from the completed match context.

RCB

Final-state probability

95%

LSG

Final-state probability

Outcome call

RCB

Final outcome favoured RCB.

Edge state

Strong edge

RCB 95% confidence

Status

Final

Final score

RCB 149/5 (15.1/20 ov, target 147) · LSG 146

Last updated

Match status finalised

Squad / XI watch

Who is in the frame for this match

Truthful selection state only

Auto-sourced from ESPNcricinfo team-sheet feed.

Verified source: ESPNcricinfo (auto) · 2026-04-22T04:36:41.832Z

Squad / XI module

RCB

Confirmed XI

Confirmed XI is shown because an official team sheet has been verified for this fixture.

Phil SaltOverseas

WK-batter

Powerplay hitter capable of changing field settings immediately.

Virat Kohli

Top-order batter

One of the league’s defining top-order batting reference points.

Devdutt Padikkal

Batter

Domestic squad option in the current official team list. Role-specific stat line is withheld until safely attached to the player layer.

Rajat PatidarCaptain

Top-order batter

Strong matchup option when spin dominates the middle overs.

Jitesh Sharma

WK-batter

Domestic squad option in the current official team list. Role-specific stat line is withheld until safely attached to the player layer.

Instant verdict

Who has the edge?

RCB closed with the edge. RCB arrive with the stronger standings position at #1 on 18 points, compared with LSG's #9 on 8.

RCB arrive with the stronger standings position at #1 on 18 points, compared with LSG's #9 on 8.
M Chinnaswamy Stadium has an average first-innings score of 186, with 56% of matches won by the chasing side.
Phil Salt and Virat Kohli give RCB top-order run production, while Mohammad Shami is the main counter with 1.6 wickets per match.

What changed since the last match

Verified changes only

No verified selection, replacement, or availability change is affecting this match right now.

Source provenance

What this page is allowed to claim

Fixture, venue, team, squad, and player layers come from the site’s validated data files.
Publication state last evaluated 30 Jun 2026, 4:30 am.
Current live/result state source: manual-override.

Venue / toss / scoring matrix

M Chinnaswamy Stadium

Average first-innings score at M Chinnaswamy Stadium: 186.
Batting first wins 44% of tracked matches here, while chasing sides win 56%.
Toss context: Chasing usually gains a small edge here, so captains will lean toward bowling first unless the surface looks slower than expected.
High-scoring venue where boundary value usually outpaces pure accumulation
Chasing often feels easier once dew settles under lights

See IPL 2026 toss winners list Open venue page

Numeric facts

The grounding layer

RCB 95% win probability
RCB are #1 on 18 points
LSG are #9 on 8 points
186 average first-innings score

Key battles

The phase matchups that can move the edge

Phil Salt vs Mohammad Shami

Phil Salt carries a 158 strike rate in the current batting sample, while Mohammad Shami brings 1.6 wickets per match.

Aiden Markram vs Josh Hazlewood

Aiden Markram is one of LSG's main scoring anchors, and Josh Hazlewood is the best wicket threat in the opposing attack right now.

RCB middle overs vs LSG control overs

Virat Kohli and Mayank Yadav are the phase matchup to watch once the field spreads and strike rotation matters.

Form + pressure points

RCB

Position #1 · 18 points · Record 9-5 · NRR +1.148

Last five: W · W · L · W · W

RCB are in the current top four, so the pressure is about protecting margin and net run rate rather than chasing the cut line. Recent form: WWLWW.

Form + pressure points

LSG

Position #9 · 8 points · Record 4-10 · NRR -0.290

Last five: W · L · W · L · L

LSG need a recovery run from #9. The next result matters both for points and for whether the season remains live. Recent form: WLWLL.

Optional fantasy block

Compact fantasy view

This block stays secondary to the win-probability read and uses the current player sample only as supporting context.

Captain

Tim David

RCB · form 8 · SR 165

Vice-captain

Rishabh Pant

LSG · form 8 · SR 149

Other picks

Virat Kohli, Nicholas Pooran, Phil Salt, Mayank Yadav

FAQ

Match-specific answers

Who won RCB vs LSG?

RCB won. Final

What did the pre-match model say?

The pre-match edge was RCB at 54%, and the archived reasons remain visible lower on the page for review.

What was the RCB vs LSG winning percentage?

Before the toss, RCB were 54% and LSG were 46%. The completed page keeps that original percentage for audit instead of rewriting it after the result.

Where is the RCB vs LSG live score probability review?

The same canonical match page keeps the live score probability context, final score, and result review after the match is completed.

Was the page updated after the result?

Yes. Completed matches are converted to result-state language on the same canonical URL and keep an explicit update log.

Update log

Canonical page lifecycle

Published

8 Apr 2026, 7:30 am IST

This is the first indexable window for the canonical match page.

Toss updated

Pending IST

No verified toss or XI update has landed yet.

Live updated

Pending IST

No verified live update has landed yet.

Result updated

30 Jun 2026, 4:30 am IST

Final

Internal links

Move through the trust stack

RCB vs LSG head-to-head record Royal Challengers Bengaluru team page Lucknow Super Giants team page M Chinnaswamy Stadium venue guide Points table and playoff bracket Track record Methodology RCB vs LSG head-to-head All head-to-head archives Editorial feed Playoff scenarios

Squad / XI module

LSG

Confirmed XI

Confirmed XI is shown because an official team sheet has been verified for this fixture.

Mitchell MarshOverseas

All-rounder

Adds hitting power plus a seam-over release valve if fit and available.

Aiden MarkramOverseas

Batter

Overseas squad option in the current official team list. Role-specific stat line is withheld until safely attached to the player layer.

Rishabh PantCaptain

WK-batter

Game-changing batter when he can attack spin and manipulate the middle overs.

Nicholas PooranOverseas

WK-batter

One of the cleanest boundary hitters in the league against spin and pace-off bowling.

Ayush Badoni

All-rounder

Domestic squad option in the current official team list. Role-specific stat line is withheld until safely attached to the player layer.

Abdul Samad

All-rounder

Domestic squad option in the current official team list. Role-specific stat line is withheld until safely attached to the player layer.

Mukul Choudhary

WK-batter

Domestic squad option in the current official team list. Role-specific stat line is withheld until safely attached to the player layer.

George Linde

Squad player

Player note pending.

Mohammed Shami

Squad player

Player note pending.

Avesh Khan

Seamer

High-leverage overs matter more to his value than raw volume.

Digvesh Rathi

Squad player

Player note pending.

Bench / reserves

Himmat SinghMatthew BreetzkeAkshat RaghuwanshiJosh InglisShahbaz AhamadArshin KulkarniWanindu HasarangaMohammad Shami

Impact-player watch

Prince Yadav

RCB vs LSG result, score and win probability review

RCB won

Match outcome intelligence

Who is in the frame for this match

RCB

Who has the edge?

Verified changes only

What this page is allowed to claim

M Chinnaswamy Stadium

The grounding layer

The phase matchups that can move the edge

Phil Salt vs Mohammad Shami

Aiden Markram vs Josh Hazlewood

RCB middle overs vs LSG control overs

RCB

LSG

Compact fantasy view

Match-specific answers

Who won RCB vs LSG?

What did the pre-match model say?

What was the RCB vs LSG winning percentage?

Where is the RCB vs LSG live score probability review?

Was the page updated after the result?

Canonical page lifecycle

Published

Toss updated

Live updated

Result updated

Move through the trust stack

Frequently asked

LSG

RCB

LSG