Squad / XI module
MI
1
Ryan RickeltonOverseas
2
Quinton de KockOverseas
3
Surya Kumar Yadav
4
Naman Dhir
5
Hardik PandyaCaptain
Match desk
Loading fixture context
Preparing the schedule, teams, venue and current match state.
Preparing the schedule, teams, venue and current match state.
Final. PBKS were the final model favorite at 95% before the archived review, score context, and standings pressure update.
5%
95%Final. The archived page for Thursday, 16 April 2026 at Wankhede Stadium, Mumbai still carries the final model call of PBKS at 95%. Wankhede Stadium has leaned slightly towards the chase so far, with chasing sides winning 53% of the tracked sample. Prabhsimran Singh and Priyansh Arya remain the cleanest batting identifiers for PBKS, while Jasprit Bumrah is the direct counter from MI. The table now shows MI at #10 and PBKS at #5, which keeps the result tied back to the wider season picture.
PBKS won.
PBKS hold the current edge
The 50% marker is the even-match reference. The filled arc shows the model leader, with exact values stated in text.
The probabilities shown are final-state snapshots derived from the completed match context.
MI PBKSAuto-sourced from ESPNcricinfo team-sheet feed.
MIPBKS closed with the edge. PBKS arrive with the stronger standings position at #5 on 15 points, compared with MI's #10 on 8.
Oldest to newest · win, no result, loss
MI need a recovery run from #10. The next result matters both for points and for whether the season remains live. Recent form: WLWLL.
Oldest to newest · win, no result, loss
10,000 seeded innings per batting order · venue-adjusted E5 simulator · runs
Final The pre-match call gave PBKS a 95% edge — how it held up, the full scorecard, and the standings impact are below.
| Factor | Value |
|---|---|
| MI win probability | 5% |
| PBKS win probability | 95% |
| Model favorite | PBKS |
| Venue | Wankhede Stadium, Mumbai |
| Venue bias (bat-first vs chase) | 47% vs 53% |
| Average first-innings score | 182 runs |
| Start (IST) | 19:30 · 2026-04-16 |
| Result | Final |
Five largest lineup contributions · zero reference at centre
PBKSFive largest lineup contributions · zero reference at centre
MI PBKSPBKS are in the playoff-pressure band at #5. Each result now changes the qualification picture more than early-season noise. Recent form: LLLLW.