Squad / XI module
MI
1
Ryan RickeltonOverseas
2
Quinton de KockOverseas
3
Surya Kumar Yadav
4
Naman Dhir
5
Hardik PandyaCaptain
PBKS won.
Final The pre-match call gave PBKS a 95% edge — how it held up, the full scorecard, and the standings impact are below.
| Factor | Value |
|---|---|
| MI win probability | 5% |
| PBKS win probability | 95% |
| Model favorite | PBKS |
| Venue | Wankhede Stadium, Mumbai |
| Venue bias (bat-first vs chase) | 47% vs 53% |
| Average first-innings score |
Final. PBKS were the final model favorite at 95% before the archived review, score context, and standings pressure update.
5%95%Final. The archived page for Thursday, 16 April 2026 at Wankhede Stadium, Mumbai still carries the final model call of PBKS at 95%. Wankhede Stadium has leaned slightly towards the chase so far, with chasing sides winning 53% of the tracked sample. Prabhsimran Singh and Priyansh Arya remain the cleanest batting identifiers for PBKS, while Jasprit Bumrah is the direct counter from MI. The table now shows MI at #10 and PBKS at #4, which keeps the result tied back to the wider season picture.
The probabilities shown are final-state snapshots derived from the completed match context.
MI PBKSAuto-sourced from ESPNcricinfo team-sheet feed.
MIPBKS closed with the edge. PBKS arrive with the stronger standings position at #4 on 13 points, compared with MI's #10 on 6.
MI need a recovery run from #10. The next result matters both for points and for whether the season remains live. Recent form: LLLWL.
PBKS are in the current top four, so the pressure is about protecting margin and net run rate rather than chasing the cut line. Recent form: WLLLL.
How the other recent fixtures played out — scorecard, the moment it tilted, and the standings impact.
| 182 runs |
| Start (IST) | 19:30 · 2026-04-16 |
| Result | Final |
PBKS MI PBKS