RR won.
RR won by 27 runs The pre-match call gave RR a 95% edge — how it held up, the full scorecard, and the standings impact are below.
| Factor | Value |
|---|---|
| RR win probability | 95% |
| MI win probability | 5% |
| Model favorite | RR |
| Venue | ACA Stadium, Guwahati |
| Venue bias (bat-first vs chase) | 48% vs 52% |
| Average first-innings score |
RR won by 27 runs. RR were the final model favorite at 95% before the archived review, score context, and standings pressure update.
RR won by 27 runs. The archived page for Tuesday, 7 April 2026 at ACA Stadium, Guwahati still carries the final model call of RR at 95%. ACA Stadium has leaned slightly towards the chase so far, with chasing sides winning 52% of the tracked sample. Yashasvi Jaiswal and Vaibhav Suryavanshi remain the cleanest batting identifiers for RR, while Jasprit Bumrah is the direct counter from MI. The table now shows RR at #5 and MI at #10, which keeps the result tied back to the wider season picture.
The probabilities shown are final-state snapshots derived from the completed match context.
This stays as a probable XI until an official team sheet confirms the final lineup.
RR closed with the edge. RR arrive with the stronger standings position at #5 on 12 points, compared with MI's #10 on 6.
RR are in the playoff-pressure band at #5. Each result now changes the qualification picture more than early-season noise. Recent form: WLWLL.
MI need a recovery run from #10. The next result matters both for points and for whether the season remains live. Recent form: LLLWL.
How the other recent fixtures played out — scorecard, the moment it tilted, and the standings impact.
| 179 runs |
| Start (IST) | 19:30 · 2026-04-07 |
| Result | RR won by 27 runs |