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Preparing the schedule, teams, venue and current match state.
Preparing the schedule, teams, venue and current match state.
GT won by 77 runs. GT were the final model favorite at 95% before the archived review, score context, and standings pressure update.
GT won by 77 runs. The archived page for Saturday, 9 May 2026 at Sawai Mansingh Stadium, Jaipur still carries the final model call of GT at 95%. Sawai Mansingh Stadium has played close to neutral so far, with batting-first wins at 50% and chases at 50%. Shubman Gill and Jos Buttler remain the cleanest batting identifiers for GT, while Jofra Archer is the direct counter from RR. The table now shows RR at #4 and GT at #3, which keeps the result tied back to the wider season picture.
GT won.
GT hold the current edge
The 50% marker is the even-match reference. The filled arc shows the model leader, with exact values stated in text.
The probabilities shown are final-state snapshots derived from the completed match context.
Auto-sourced from ESPNcricinfo team-sheet feed.
GT closed with the edge. GT arrive with the stronger standings position at #3 on 18 points, compared with RR's #4 on 16.
Oldest to newest · win, no result, loss
RR are in the current top four, so the pressure is about protecting margin and net run rate rather than chasing the cut line. Recent form: LWWWL.
Oldest to newest · win, no result, loss
10,000 seeded innings per batting order · venue-adjusted E5 simulator · runs
GT won by 77 runs The pre-match call gave GT a 95% edge — how it held up, the full scorecard, and the standings impact are below.
| Factor | Value |
|---|---|
| RR win probability | 5% |
| GT win probability | 95% |
| Model favorite | GT |
| Venue | Sawai Mansingh Stadium, Jaipur |
| Venue bias (bat-first vs chase) | 50% vs 50% |
| Average first-innings score | 178 runs |
| Start (IST) | 19:30 · 2026-05-09 |
| Result | GT won by 77 runs |
Five largest lineup contributions · zero reference at centre
Five largest lineup contributions · zero reference at centre
GT are in the current top four, so the pressure is about protecting margin and net run rate rather than chasing the cut line. Recent form: LWLWL.