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Preparing the schedule, teams, venue and current match state.
Preparing the schedule, teams, venue and current match state.
RCB won by 43 runs. RCB were the final model favorite at 95% before the archived review, score context, and standings pressure update.
RCB won by 43 runs. The archived page for Sunday, 5 April 2026 at M Chinnaswamy Stadium, Bengaluru still carries the final model call of RCB at 95%. M Chinnaswamy Stadium has leaned slightly towards the chase so far, with chasing sides winning 56% of the tracked sample. Phil Salt and Virat Kohli remain the cleanest batting identifiers for RCB, while Noor Ahmad is the direct counter from CSK. The table now shows RCB at #1 and CSK at #8, which keeps the result tied back to the wider season picture.
RCB won.
RCB hold the current edge
The 50% marker is the even-match reference. The filled arc shows the model leader, with exact values stated in text.
The probabilities shown are final-state snapshots derived from the completed match context.
This stays as a probable XI until an official team sheet confirms the final lineup.
RCB closed with the edge. RCB arrive with the stronger standings position at #1 on 18 points, compared with CSK's #8 on 12.
Oldest to newest · win, no result, loss
RCB are in the current top four, so the pressure is about protecting margin and net run rate rather than chasing the cut line. Recent form: WWLWW.
Oldest to newest · win, no result, loss
10,000 seeded innings per batting order · venue-adjusted E5 simulator · runs
RCB won by 43 runs The pre-match call gave RCB a 95% edge — how it held up, the full scorecard, and the standings impact are below.
| Factor | Value |
|---|---|
| RCB win probability | 95% |
| CSK win probability | 5% |
| Model favorite | RCB |
| Venue | M Chinnaswamy Stadium, Bengaluru |
| Venue bias (bat-first vs chase) | 44% vs 56% |
| Average first-innings score | 186 runs |
| Start (IST) | 19:30 · 2026-04-05 |
| Result | RCB won by 43 runs |
Five largest lineup contributions · zero reference at centre
Five largest lineup contributions · zero reference at centre
CSK need a recovery run from #8. The next result matters both for points and for whether the season remains live. Recent form: WWLLL.