Squad / XI module
RCB
1
Phil SaltOverseas
2
Virat Kohli
3
Rajat PatidarCaptain
4
Venkatesh Iyer
5
Tim DavidOverseas
RCB won.
RCB won by 43 runs The pre-match call gave RCB a 95% edge — how it held up, the full scorecard, and the standings impact are below.
| Factor | Value |
|---|---|
| RCB win probability | 95% |
| CSK win probability | 5% |
| Model favorite | RCB |
| Venue | M Chinnaswamy Stadium, Bengaluru |
| Venue bias (bat-first vs chase) | 44% vs 56% |
RCB won by 43 runs. RCB were the final model favorite at 95% before the archived review, score context, and standings pressure update.
95%5%RCB won by 43 runs. The archived page for Sunday, 5 April 2026 at M Chinnaswamy Stadium, Bengaluru still carries the final model call of RCB at 95%. M Chinnaswamy Stadium has leaned slightly towards the chase so far, with chasing sides winning 56% of the tracked sample. Phil Salt and Virat Kohli remain the cleanest batting identifiers for RCB, while Noor Ahmad is the direct counter from CSK. The table now shows RCB at #1 and CSK at #6, which keeps the result tied back to the wider season picture.
The probabilities shown are final-state snapshots derived from the completed match context.
RCB CSKThis stays as a probable XI until an official team sheet confirms the final lineup.
RCBRCB closed with the edge. RCB arrive with the stronger standings position at #1 on 14 points, compared with CSK's #6 on 12.
RCB are in the current top four, so the pressure is about protecting margin and net run rate rather than chasing the cut line. Recent form: WWLLW.
CSK are in the playoff-pressure band at #6. Each result now changes the qualification picture more than early-season noise. Recent form: WLWWW.
How the other recent fixtures played out — scorecard, the moment it tilted, and the standings impact.
| Average first-innings score |
| 186 runs |
| Start (IST) | 19:30 · 2026-04-05 |
| Result | RCB won by 43 runs |
CSK RCB CSK