Squad / XI module
MI
1
Rohit Sharma
2
Ryan RickeltonOverseas
3
Naman Dhir
4
Surya Kumar Yadav
5
Tilak Varma
Match desk
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Preparing the schedule, teams, venue and current match state.
Preparing the schedule, teams, venue and current match state.
RR won by 30 runs. RR were the final model favorite at 95% before the archived review, score context, and standings pressure update.
5%
95%RR won by 30 runs. The archived page for Sunday, 24 May 2026 at Wankhede Stadium, Mumbai still carries the final model call of RR at 95%. Wankhede Stadium has leaned slightly towards the chase so far, with chasing sides winning 53% of the tracked sample. Yashasvi Jaiswal and Vaibhav Suryavanshi remain the cleanest batting identifiers for RR, while Jasprit Bumrah is the direct counter from MI. The table now shows MI at #10 and RR at #4, which keeps the result tied back to the wider season picture.
RR won.
RR hold the current edge
The 50% marker is the even-match reference. The filled arc shows the model leader, with exact values stated in text.
The probabilities shown are final-state snapshots derived from the completed match context.
MI RRAuto-sourced from ESPNcricinfo team-sheet feed.
MIRR closed with the edge. RR arrive with the stronger standings position at #4 on 16 points, compared with MI's #10 on 8.
Oldest to newest · win, no result, loss
MI need a recovery run from #10. The next result matters both for points and for whether the season remains live. Recent form: WLWLL.
Oldest to newest · win, no result, loss
10,000 seeded innings per batting order · venue-adjusted E5 simulator · runs
RR won by 30 runs The pre-match call gave RR a 95% edge — how it held up, the full scorecard, and the standings impact are below.
| Factor | Value |
|---|---|
| MI win probability | 5% |
| RR win probability | 95% |
| Model favorite | RR |
| Venue | Wankhede Stadium, Mumbai |
| Venue bias (bat-first vs chase) | 47% vs 53% |
| Average first-innings score | 182 runs |
| Start (IST) | 15:30 · 2026-05-24 |
| Result | RR won by 30 runs |
Five largest lineup contributions · zero reference at centre
RRFive largest lineup contributions · zero reference at centre
MI RRRR are in the current top four, so the pressure is about protecting margin and net run rate rather than chasing the cut line. Recent form: LWWWL.