Quick answerResult

MI vs RR result

RR won.

MI5%

RR95%

RR won by 30 runs The pre-match call gave RR a 95% edge — how it held up, the full scorecard, and the standings impact are below.

MI vs RR — key factors
Factor	Value
MI win probability	5%
RR win probability	95%
Model favorite	RR
Venue	Wankhede Stadium, Mumbai
Venue bias (bat-first vs chase)	47% vs 53%
Average first-innings score

Result · Match intelligence

MI vs RR result, score and win probability review

RR won by 30 runs. RR were the final model favorite at 95% before the archived review, score context, and standings pressure update.

ResultRR 95% winner confidencePublished 17 May 2026, 7:30 am ISTUpdated 24 May 2026, 3:30 pm ISTLast standings refresh: 30 Jun 2026, 4:28 am IST

MI 175/9 (20 ov, target 206)

Kickoff

15:30

Wankhede Stadium, Mumbai

95%

RR 205/8

RR won by 30 runs. The archived page for Sunday, 24 May 2026 at Wankhede Stadium, Mumbai still carries the final model call of RR at 95%. Wankhede Stadium has leaned slightly towards the chase so far, with chasing sides winning 53% of the tracked sample. Yashasvi Jaiswal and Vaibhav Suryavanshi remain the cleanest batting identifiers for RR, while Jasprit Bumrah is the direct counter from MI. The table now shows MI at #10 and RR at #4, which keeps the result tied back to the wider season picture.

Points table Track record Methodology MI vs RR head-to-head All head-to-head archives Previous fixture Next fixture

Match result

RR won

Completed

Result

RR won by 30 runs

Final scores

MI 175/9 (20 ov, target 206)

RR 205/8

Final-state call

RR at 95%

Decision sheet

Match outcome intelligence

The probabilities shown are final-state snapshots derived from the completed match context.

Final-state probability

95%

Outcome call

Final outcome favoured RR.

Edge state

Strong edge

RR 95% confidence

Status

RR won by 30 runs

Final score

MI 175/9 (20 ov, target 206) · RR 205/8

Last updated

Match status finalised

Squad / XI watch

Who is in the frame for this match

Truthful selection state only

Auto-sourced from ESPNcricinfo team-sheet feed.

Verified source: ESPNcricinfo (auto) · 2026-05-24T14:00:00.820Z

Squad / XI module

MI

Confirmed XI

Confirmed XI is shown because an official team sheet has been verified for this fixture.

Rohit Sharma

Top-order batter

Powerplay scoring range can force the game onto Mumbai’s terms early.

Ryan RickeltonOverseas

WK-batter

Overseas squad option in the current official team list. Role-specific stat line is withheld until safely attached to the player layer.

Naman Dhir

All-rounder

Domestic squad option in the current official team list. Role-specific stat line is withheld until safely attached to the player layer.

Surya Kumar Yadav

Middle-order batter

360-degree scoring makes him one of the toughest middle-over matchups in the league.

Tilak Varma

Squad player

Player note pending.

Instant verdict

Who has the edge?

RR closed with the edge. RR arrive with the stronger standings position at #4 on 16 points, compared with MI's #10 on 8.

RR arrive with the stronger standings position at #4 on 16 points, compared with MI's #10 on 8.
Wankhede Stadium has an average first-innings score of 182, with 53% of matches won by the chasing side.
Yashasvi Jaiswal and Vaibhav Suryavanshi give RR top-order run production, while Jasprit Bumrah is the main counter with 1.9 wickets per match.

What changed since the last match

Verified changes only

Latest verified snapshot: MI won the toss and chose to field first..
MI won the toss and chose to field first.
Venue bias: bat-first 47% vs chase 53%. Toss-adjusted edge +0.6% to the toss winner's elected side.

Source provenance

What this page is allowed to claim

Fixture, venue, team, squad, and player layers come from the site’s validated data files.
Publication state last evaluated 30 Jun 2026, 4:28 am.
Current live/result state source: provider.

Venue / toss / scoring matrix

Wankhede Stadium

Average first-innings score at Wankhede Stadium: 182.
Batting first wins 47% of tracked matches here, while chasing sides win 53%.
Toss context: Chasing usually gains a small edge here, so captains will lean toward bowling first unless the surface looks slower than expected.
True bounce rewards clean powerplay hitting and high pace through the deck
Evening dew can reduce grip for slower balls in the second innings

See IPL 2026 toss winners list Open venue page

Numeric facts

The grounding layer

RR 95% win probability
MI are #10 on 8 points
RR are #4 on 16 points
182 average first-innings score

Key battles

The phase matchups that can move the edge

Rohit Sharma vs Jofra Archer

Rohit Sharma carries a 128 strike rate in the current batting sample, while Jofra Archer brings 1.7 wickets per match.

Yashasvi Jaiswal vs Jasprit Bumrah

Yashasvi Jaiswal is one of RR's main scoring anchors, and Jasprit Bumrah is the best wicket threat in the opposing attack right now.

MI middle overs vs RR control overs

Quinton de Kock and Ravi Bishnoi are the phase matchup to watch once the field spreads and strike rotation matters.

Form + pressure points

MI

Position #10 · 8 points · Record 4-10 · NRR -0.772

Last five: W · L · W · L · L

MI need a recovery run from #10. The next result matters both for points and for whether the season remains live. Recent form: WLWLL.

Form + pressure points

RR

Position #4 · 16 points · Record 8-6 · NRR +0.853

Last five: L · W · W · W · L

RR are in the current top four, so the pressure is about protecting margin and net run rate rather than chasing the cut line. Recent form: LWWWL.

Optional fantasy block

Compact fantasy view

This block stays secondary to the win-probability read and uses the current player sample only as supporting context.

Captain

Suryakumar Yadav

MI · form 8.5 · SR 165

Vice-captain

Yashasvi Jaiswal

RR · form 8.5 · SR 158

Other picks

Vaibhav Suryavanshi, Tilak Varma, Riyan Parag, Jasprit Bumrah

FAQ

Match-specific answers

Who won MI vs RR?

RR won. RR won by 30 runs

What did the pre-match model say?

The pre-match edge was MI at 57%, and the archived reasons remain visible lower on the page for review.

What was the MI vs RR winning percentage?

Before the toss, MI were 57% and RR were 43%. The completed page keeps that original percentage for audit instead of rewriting it after the result.

Where is the MI vs RR live score probability review?

The same canonical match page keeps the live score probability context, final score, and result review after the match is completed.

Was the page updated after the result?

Yes. Completed matches are converted to result-state language on the same canonical URL and keep an explicit update log.

Update log

Canonical page lifecycle

Published

17 May 2026, 7:30 am IST

This is the first indexable window for the canonical match page.

Toss updated

24 May 2026, 3:03 pm IST

MI won the toss and chose to field first.

Live updated

Pending IST

No verified live update has landed yet.

Result updated

30 Jun 2026, 4:28 am IST

RR won by 30 runs

Internal links

Move through the trust stack

MI vs RR head-to-head record Mumbai Indians team page Rajasthan Royals team page Wankhede Stadium venue guide Points table and playoff bracket Track record Methodology MI vs RR head-to-head All head-to-head archives Editorial feed Playoff scenarios

Squad / XI module

RR

Confirmed XI

Confirmed XI is shown because an official team sheet has been verified for this fixture.

Yashasvi Jaiswal

Top-order batter

Explosive powerplay left-hander who can force an above-par scoring curve quickly.

Vaibhav Sooryavanshi

Squad player

Player note pending.

Dhruv Jurel

WK-batter

Middle-order calm and finishing range make him important in tighter chases.

Riyan ParagCaptain

All-rounder

Middle-order pressure release with part-time spin flexibility.

Dasun ShanakaOverseas

All-rounder

Overseas squad option in the current official team list. Role-specific stat line is withheld until safely attached to the player layer.

Donovan FerreiraOverseas

WK-batter

Overseas squad option in the current official team list. Role-specific stat line is withheld until safely attached to the player layer.

Jofra ArcherOverseas

Fast bowler

Pure pace threat that can change the powerplay or death overs fast.

Shubham Dubey

Batter

Domestic squad option in the current official team list. Role-specific stat line is withheld until safely attached to the player layer.

Ravindra Jadeja

All-rounder

Domestic squad option in the current official team list. Role-specific stat line is withheld until safely attached to the player layer.

Nandre BurgerOverseas

Bowler

Overseas squad option in the current official team list. Role-specific stat line is withheld until safely attached to the player layer.

Yash Raj Punja

Bowler

Domestic squad option in the current official team list. Role-specific stat line is withheld until safely attached to the player layer.

Bench / reserves

Vaibhav SuryavanshiLhuan-dre PretoriousRavi SinghAman Rao PeralaShimron HetmyerYudhvir Singh CharakTushar DeshpandeKwena Maphaka

Impact-player watch

Brijesh Sharma

MI vs RR result, score and win probability review

RR won

Match outcome intelligence

Who is in the frame for this match

MI

Who has the edge?

Verified changes only

What this page is allowed to claim

Wankhede Stadium

The grounding layer

The phase matchups that can move the edge

Rohit Sharma vs Jofra Archer

Yashasvi Jaiswal vs Jasprit Bumrah

MI middle overs vs RR control overs

MI

RR

Compact fantasy view

Match-specific answers

Who won MI vs RR?

What did the pre-match model say?

What was the MI vs RR winning percentage?

Where is the MI vs RR live score probability review?

Was the page updated after the result?

Canonical page lifecycle

Published

Toss updated

Live updated

Result updated

Move through the trust stack

Frequently asked

RR

MI

RR