Squad / XI module
MI
1
Rohit Sharma
2
Quinton de KockOverseas
3
Ryan RickeltonOverseas
4
Surya Kumar Yadav
5
Tilak Varma
RCB won.
RCB won by 18 runs The pre-match call gave RCB a 95% edge — how it held up, the full scorecard, and the standings impact are below.
| Factor | Value |
|---|---|
| MI win probability | 5% |
| RCB win probability | 95% |
| Model favorite | RCB |
| Venue | Wankhede Stadium, Mumbai |
| Venue bias (bat-first vs chase) | 47% vs 53% |
| Average first-innings score |
RCB won by 18 runs. RCB were the final model favorite at 95% before the archived review, score context, and standings pressure update.
5%95%RCB won by 18 runs. The archived page for Sunday, 12 April 2026 at Wankhede Stadium, Mumbai still carries the final model call of RCB at 95%. Wankhede Stadium has leaned slightly towards the chase so far, with chasing sides winning 53% of the tracked sample. Phil Salt and Virat Kohli remain the cleanest batting identifiers for RCB, while Jasprit Bumrah is the direct counter from MI. The table now shows MI at #10 and RCB at #1, which keeps the result tied back to the wider season picture.
The probabilities shown are final-state snapshots derived from the completed match context.
MI RCBThis stays as a probable XI until an official team sheet confirms the final lineup.
MIRCB closed with the edge. RCB arrive with the stronger standings position at #1 on 14 points, compared with MI's #10 on 6.
MI need a recovery run from #10. The next result matters both for points and for whether the season remains live. Recent form: LLLWL.
RCB are in the current top four, so the pressure is about protecting margin and net run rate rather than chasing the cut line. Recent form: WWLLW.
How the other recent fixtures played out — scorecard, the moment it tilted, and the standings impact.
| 182 runs |
| Start (IST) | 19:30 · 2026-04-12 |
| Result | RCB won by 18 runs |
RCB MI RCB