Squad / XI module
MI
1
Ryan RickeltonOverseas
2
Rohit Sharma
3
Tilak Varma
4
Surya Kumar Yadav
5
Naman Dhir
Match desk
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Preparing the schedule, teams, venue and current match state.
Preparing the schedule, teams, venue and current match state.
MI won by 6 wkts (8b rem). MI were the final model favorite at 95% before the archived review, score context, and standings pressure update.
95%
5%MI won by 6 wkts (8b rem). The archived page for Monday, 4 May 2026 at Wankhede Stadium, Mumbai still carries the final model call of MI at 95%. Wankhede Stadium has leaned slightly towards the chase so far, with chasing sides winning 53% of the tracked sample. Rohit Sharma and Quinton de Kock remain the cleanest batting identifiers for MI, while Mohammad Shami is the direct counter from LSG. The table now shows MI at #10 and LSG at #9, which keeps the result tied back to the wider season picture.
MI won.
MI hold the current edge
The 50% marker is the even-match reference. The filled arc shows the model leader, with exact values stated in text.
The probabilities shown are final-state snapshots derived from the completed match context.
MI LSGAuto-sourced from ESPNcricinfo team-sheet feed.
MIMI closed with the edge. MI do not have the stronger table position, so the edge here depends on venue fit and matchup inputs rather than the standings gap alone.
Oldest to newest · win, no result, loss
MI need a recovery run from #10. The next result matters both for points and for whether the season remains live. Recent form: WLWLL.
Oldest to newest · win, no result, loss
10,000 seeded innings per batting order · venue-adjusted E5 simulator · runs
MI won by 6 wkts (8b rem) The pre-match call gave MI a 95% edge — how it held up, the full scorecard, and the standings impact are below.
| Factor | Value |
|---|---|
| MI win probability | 95% |
| LSG win probability | 5% |
| Model favorite | MI |
| Venue | Wankhede Stadium, Mumbai |
| Venue bias (bat-first vs chase) | 47% vs 53% |
| Average first-innings score | 182 runs |
| Start (IST) | 19:30 · 2026-05-04 |
| Result | MI won by 6 wkts (8b rem) |
Five largest lineup contributions · zero reference at centre
LSGFive largest lineup contributions · zero reference at centre
MI LSGLSG need a recovery run from #9. The next result matters both for points and for whether the season remains live. Recent form: WLWLL.