SRH leading at 54% win probability.
SRH are ahead on the live win-probability model. Chase dynamics, CRR vs RRR, toss impact, and the real-time shift log are below. The model refreshes every few minutes as live state updates.
| Factor | Value |
|---|---|
| GT win probability | 46% |
| SRH win probability | 54% |
| Model favorite | SRH |
| Venue | Narendra Modi Stadium, Ahmedabad |
| Venue bias (bat-first vs chase) | 49% vs 51% |
SRH hold the live edge at 54% for GT vs SRH. Score context, toss/XI updates, and venue pressure stay on this one canonical page.
GT vs SRH is the live call for Tuesday, 12 May 2026 at Narendra Modi Stadium, Ahmedabad. The current model makes SRH the edge at 54% before first ball. Narendra Modi Stadium has leaned slightly towards the chase so far, with chasing sides winning 51% of the tracked sample. Travis Head and Abhishek Sharma remain the cleanest batting identifiers for SRH, while Kagiso Rabada is the direct counter from GT. Toss context stays grounded in one line: The toss looks close to neutral, but dew, wind, and boundary dimensions can still sharpen the decision on match day. The table shows GT at #3 and SRH at #2, so the prediction is framed against real standings pressure rather than a flat preview template.
The headline probabilities, current verdict, toss context, live-state label, and edge language are grouped here first so the page is useful within seconds.
Auto-sourced from ESPNcricinfo team-sheet feed.
SRH have the live edge right now. SRH arrive with the stronger standings position at #2 on 14 points, compared with GT's #3 on 14.
GT are in the current top four, so the pressure is about protecting margin and net run rate rather than chasing the cut line. Recent form: LWWWW.
SRH are in the current top four, so the pressure is about protecting margin and net run rate rather than chasing the cut line. Recent form: WWWLW.
How the other recent fixtures played out — scorecard, the moment it tilted, and the standings impact.
| Average first-innings score | 181 runs |
| Start (IST) | 19:30 · 2026-05-12 |