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Preparing the schedule, teams, venue and current match state.
Preparing the schedule, teams, venue and current match state.
RR won by 6 runs. RR were the final model favorite at 95% before the archived review, score context, and standings pressure update.
RR won by 6 runs. The archived page for Saturday, 4 April 2026 at Narendra Modi Stadium, Ahmedabad still carries the final model call of RR at 95%. Narendra Modi Stadium has leaned slightly towards the chase so far, with chasing sides winning 51% of the tracked sample. Yashasvi Jaiswal and Vaibhav Suryavanshi remain the cleanest batting identifiers for RR, while Kagiso Rabada is the direct counter from GT. The table now shows GT at #3 and RR at #4, which keeps the result tied back to the wider season picture.
RR won.
RR hold the current edge
The 50% marker is the even-match reference. The filled arc shows the model leader, with exact values stated in text.
The probabilities shown are final-state snapshots derived from the completed match context.
This stays as a probable XI until an official team sheet confirms the final lineup.
RR closed with the edge. RR sit lower in the table at #4, but Yashasvi Jaiswal and Vaibhav Suryavanshi still carry the stronger top-order strike-rate average (163.0) against GT's first two named batters (141.0).
Oldest to newest · win, no result, loss
GT are in the current top four, so the pressure is about protecting margin and net run rate rather than chasing the cut line. Recent form: LWLWL.
Oldest to newest · win, no result, loss
10,000 seeded innings per batting order · venue-adjusted E5 simulator · runs
RR won by 6 runs The pre-match call gave RR a 95% edge — how it held up, the full scorecard, and the standings impact are below.
| Factor | Value |
|---|---|
| GT win probability | 5% |
| RR win probability | 95% |
| Model favorite | RR |
| Venue | Narendra Modi Stadium, Ahmedabad |
| Venue bias (bat-first vs chase) | 49% vs 51% |
| Average first-innings score | 181 runs |
| Start (IST) | 19:30 · 2026-04-04 |
| Result | RR won by 6 runs |
Five largest lineup contributions · zero reference at centre
Five largest lineup contributions · zero reference at centre
RR are in the current top four, so the pressure is about protecting margin and net run rate rather than chasing the cut line. Recent form: LWWWL.