RR won.
RR won by 6 runs The pre-match call gave RR a 95% edge — how it held up, the full scorecard, and the standings impact are below.
| Factor | Value |
|---|---|
| GT win probability | 5% |
| RR win probability | 95% |
| Model favorite | RR |
| Venue | Narendra Modi Stadium, Ahmedabad |
| Venue bias (bat-first vs chase) | 49% vs 51% |
| Average first-innings score |
RR won by 6 runs. RR were the final model favorite at 95% before the archived review, score context, and standings pressure update.
RR won by 6 runs. The archived page for Saturday, 4 April 2026 at Narendra Modi Stadium, Ahmedabad still carries the final model call of RR at 95%. Narendra Modi Stadium has leaned slightly towards the chase so far, with chasing sides winning 51% of the tracked sample. Yashasvi Jaiswal and Vaibhav Suryavanshi remain the cleanest batting identifiers for RR, while Kagiso Rabada is the direct counter from GT. The table now shows GT at #3 and RR at #5, which keeps the result tied back to the wider season picture.
The probabilities shown are final-state snapshots derived from the completed match context.
This stays as a probable XI until an official team sheet confirms the final lineup.
RR closed with the edge. RR sit lower in the table at #5, but Yashasvi Jaiswal and Vaibhav Suryavanshi still carry the stronger top-order strike-rate average (163.0) against GT's first two named batters (141.0).
GT are in the current top four, so the pressure is about protecting margin and net run rate rather than chasing the cut line. Recent form: LWWWW.
RR are in the playoff-pressure band at #5. Each result now changes the qualification picture more than early-season noise. Recent form: WLWLL.
How the other recent fixtures played out — scorecard, the moment it tilted, and the standings impact.
| 181 runs |
| Start (IST) | 19:30 · 2026-04-04 |
| Result | RR won by 6 runs |