MI won.
Final The pre-match call gave MI a 95% edge — how it held up, the full scorecard, and the standings impact are below.
| Factor | Value |
|---|---|
| GT win probability | 5% |
| MI win probability | 95% |
| Model favorite | MI |
| Venue | Narendra Modi Stadium, Ahmedabad |
| Venue bias (bat-first vs chase) | 49% vs 51% |
| Average first-innings score |
Final. MI were the final model favorite at 95% before the archived review, score context, and standings pressure update.
Final. The archived page for Monday, 20 April 2026 at Narendra Modi Stadium, Ahmedabad still carries the final model call of MI at 95%. Narendra Modi Stadium has leaned slightly towards the chase so far, with chasing sides winning 51% of the tracked sample. Rohit Sharma and Quinton de Kock remain the cleanest batting identifiers for MI, while Kagiso Rabada is the direct counter from GT. The table now shows GT at #3 and MI at #10, which keeps the result tied back to the wider season picture.
The probabilities shown are final-state snapshots derived from the completed match context.
Auto-sourced from ESPNcricinfo team-sheet feed.
MI closed with the edge. MI do not have the stronger table position, so the edge here depends on venue fit and matchup inputs rather than the standings gap alone.
GT are in the current top four, so the pressure is about protecting margin and net run rate rather than chasing the cut line. Recent form: LWWWW.
MI need a recovery run from #10. The next result matters both for points and for whether the season remains live. Recent form: LLLWL.
How the other recent fixtures played out — scorecard, the moment it tilted, and the standings impact.
| 181 runs |
| Start (IST) | 19:30 · 2026-04-20 |
| Result | Final |