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Match intelligence and win probability
Tuesday, 31 March 2026 · Maharaja Yadavindra Singh International Cricket Stadium, New Chandigarh
vs

PBKS vs GT Prediction & Dream11 Team — Match 4

Win probability: PBKS 49% vs GT 51%. Confidence: Low.

Match Preview & Analysis

PBKS meet GT on Tuesday, 31 March at Maharaja Yadavindra Singh International Cricket Stadium, New Chandigarh — a batting-friendly surface where the average first-innings total sits at 175. Chasers hold a 54% win rate at this ground, which could shape the toss decision. With the tournament gathering pace, both sides know a stumble here shifts the mid-table arithmetic against them.

PBKS arrive with recent form reading Projection: aggressive powerplay intent gives them upside, but control overs still matter.. The batting group is set up to press the first six overs rather than drift through them. Seam options offer variety, but economy in the middle overs remains the watchpoint. PBKS still have a live path if their seamers keep taking wickets instead of only containing.. Their record at this venue and the current squad composition suggest they will look to play to their strengths from ball one. The key for PBKS is converting starts into match-defining knocks and maintaining bowling discipline through the middle overs.

GT, meanwhile, carry a Projection: their bowling structure usually keeps the chase or defence on script. form line into this fixture. The likely attack has a reliable new-ball and death-overs split. Their batting template is strongest when the middle order arrives after a stable powerplay. GT bring enough new-ball quality and middle-order stability to offset the home edge. Their challenge is clear: nullify the opposition's primary weapons and find scoring phases against the weaker overs. Depth in the lower middle order could prove decisive if early wickets fall.

On a ground where totals regularly breach 175, the powerplay battle becomes even more critical. Whoever wins overs 1-6 will likely set the tempo for the entire contest. The matchup between PBKS's top order and GT's new-ball attack shapes up as the pivotal contest. Conditions at New Chandigarh tend to favour the chasing side, adding pressure on the team batting first to post a par-plus total.

Our model gives GT a marginal edge at 51%, leaving PBKS at 49%. GT bring enough new-ball quality and middle-order stability to offset the home edge This looks like a contest that could swing on one big over, but the balance of evidence tilts toward GT.

Fantasy picks

Dream11 Team Prediction

100 / 100 credits
Bat-heavy approach banking on run-scoring depth from both PBKS and GT line-ups
Jos ButtlerVC
GT
WK
9.5 credits
30% fifty-conversion rate — high-ceiling fantasy option
Shubman GillC
GT
BAT
9.5 credits
Averaging 40 with form rating 8.5/10 — elite consistency
Sai Sudharsan
GT
BAT
9.5 credits
28% fifty-conversion rate — high-ceiling fantasy option
Shreyas Iyer
PBKS
BAT
9 credits
Season average of 32 offers a reliable fantasy floor
Glenn Phillips
GT
BAT
9 credits
Batting order #4 — guaranteed overs at the crease
Marcus Stoinis
PBKS
AR
9 credits
Batting order #4 — guaranteed overs at the crease
Rahul Tewatia
GT
AR
8.5 credits
SR of 160 makes him a boundary threat every innings
Rashid Khan
GT
BOWL
9 credits
Economy 6.5 with 1.5 wkts/match — elite dual-threat
Kagiso Rabada
GT
BOWL
9 credits
17% three-wicket haul rate unlocks massive bonus points
Yuzvendra Chahal
PBKS
BOWL
9 credits
16% three-wicket haul rate unlocks massive bonus points
Arshdeep Singh
PBKS
BOWL
9 credits
Form rating 7.5/10 and match-up friendly style

Betting Picks Summary

Match Winner
GT
51%
1.96x
Total Match Runs
Over 355
50%
2.00x
Top Match Scorer
Shubman Gill
29%
3.45x
Top Wicket-Taker
Rashid Khan
28%
3.57x

FAQ

Who will win PBKS vs GT Match 4?

Our model favours GT at 51% win probability.

Best Dream11 captain for PBKS vs GT?

Shubman Gill is our top captain pick. Averaging 40 with form rating 8.5/10 — elite consistency

What is the best bet for this match?

GT to win at 1.96x odds (51% probability).

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